Friday, August 3, 2018

Buy ICICI Bank; target of Rs 360: Centrum Research


Centrum Research's research report on ICICI Bank


We retain BUY on ICICI Bank with SOTP based TP unchanged at Rs360. Q1��19 results were broadly in-line with our estimates on operational / asset quality front. Core operating profit remains healthy (+13% YoY); new NPA addition moderates (slippages at 3.1% of loans) and loan growth (+11% YoY) gathers pace. Drill-down list (<1% of loans) coupled with BB and below-rated portfolio (5% of loans) remain the new watch-list. We see provisions remain elevated in the near term (FY19E); however draw comfort in pace of resolution and ~69% coverage ratio (combined) against list-1 and list-2 IBC accounts. Capital position remains healthy; subsidiaries remain profitable. Valuations continue to remain undemanding.


Outlook


We have tweaked our FY19E/FY20E estimates on other income / credit cost front. Our SOTP-based TP, however remains unchanged at Rs360 (valued core business at 2x FY20E ABV and other business accordingly).


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Read More First Published on Aug 3, 2018 03:45 pm

Thursday, August 2, 2018

Caesar's stock plunges on worries about Vegas hotel bookings

Las Vegas casinos have some bargains on hotel rooms right now. That sent the stocks of casino operators on a wild ride Wednesday.

Shares of Caesar's Entertainment fell as much as 24% Wednesday and trading was halted several times.

The company posted generally strong results early Wednesday. It recovered from a large loss last year to report a narrow profit.

But during a midday call with analysts, CFO Eric Hession mentioned that the company was seeing "rate pressure" on rooms because of weak bookings along the Las Vegas strip, and warned that revenue per room would be essentially flat in the third quarter. That sent shares of Caesars (CZR) and other casino stocks like MGM Resorts (MGM), Wynn Resorts (WYNN) and Penn National Gaming (PENN) tumbling

Caesar's CEO Mark Frissora had to assure investors that the company sees things returning to normal at the end of the year, and that it was sticking with its full-year guidance.

"We know what the bookings look like through the end of the year. And so we don't have concern in our forecast," he said. "We said that we saw some weakness in July and August, but then strengthening in September."

"It's not like you look at one month or two months, and you say, 'Oh, that's it for Vegas,' right? That's not the way it works," he added.

The assurances helped bring shares of Caesar's back from session lows, recapturing roughly half the losses. The other stocks also moved off their lows.

In an interview later in the day on CNBC, Frissora tried to assure investors again that the company doesn't see any long-term weakness in Vegas or other locations, calling the drop in bookings a "short-term blip."

"In terms of the stock reaction today, it has to do with the fact that we're eight months out of bankruptcy and you get a lot of volatility on a stock that is eight months out of bankruptcy," he said. "We're still very bullish on the fourth quarter. This is more of a temporary lull."